Rising star
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Edison Investment Research Limited
London, UK, 4 April 2024
Edison issues initiation on Altron (AEL): Rising star Altron is a South African-based provider of platforms and IT services, helping businesses transform and operate their IT. As part of the plan to refocus on strategic growth opportunities and to improve profitability, management has set ambitious medium-term profit targets. The group has made good progress to date, and we forecast a headline EPS CAGR of 21% from FY23 to FY26e. In our view, this performance is not yet reflected in the current share price. Full FY24 results in May should provide better clarity around individual business performance and we expect the discount to peers to reduce as positive margin progress becomes evident. We have undertaken a sum-of-the-parts valuation to reflect the different dynamics across the group. After a 30% holding company/South Africa discount, we arrive at a valuation of ZAR21.0 per share, 84% above the current share price. A reverse DCF implies the current share price is factoring in only modest revenue growth and minimal margin growth from FY27. In our view, evidence of positive margin progress and clarity over the disposal of the two discontinued businesses should provide triggers for share price upside. Click here to view the full report. All reports published by Edison are available to download free of charge from its website About Edison: As a content-led investor-relations business, Edison helps companies stand out and meet the right shareholders. Edison’s integrated investor relations solution combines expert analyst content, digital targeting and active investor engagement. This drives liquidity and valuations by building bigger, better informed and more engaged investor audiences globally. Edison has a proven history of increasing liquidity and valuations for its clients. Edison’s content can be viewed by all investors, anywhere in the world. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison is not an adviser or broker-dealer and does not provide investment advice. Edison’s reports are not solicitations to buy or sell any securities. For more information, please contact Edison: Katherine Thompson +44 (0)20 3077 5700 tech@edisongroup.com Learn more at www.edisongroup.com and connect with Edison on: LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/company/edison-group-/ Twitter www.twitter.com/Edison_Inv_Res YouTube http://www.youtube.com/edisonitv
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1873511 04-Apr-2024
