NuWays AG: NFON AG | Rating: BUY

Classification of NuWays AG to NFON AG

Company Name:	NFON AG
ISIN:	DE000A0N4N52
Reason for the research:	Update
Recommendation:	BUY
from:	28.02.2025
Target price:	EUR 12.30
Target price on sight of:	12 months
Last rating change:
Analyst:	Philipp Sennewald

Strong FY24p highlighted by superb FCF; chg.

Topic: NFON released preliminary FY24 figures, showing a stronger than expected top- and bottom-line as well as an extraordinarily strong FCF. In detail:

FY24 sales increased 6.1% yoy to € 87.3m (eNuW: € 86.1m; eCons: € 86.5m) driven by moderate seat growth (+1.4% to 665k) as well as premium solutions. Notably, non-recurring sales were up 95% yoy in Q4, indicating a strong effect from botarios project business and also a strong growth in Q4 as well as FY24 by the newly acquired subsidiary (consolidated since 09/24). According to CEO Heider, the company exceeded expectations and thus made a strong contribution to the FY result. Importantly, recurring revenues grew 5.1% yoy to € 81.1m (in line with eNuW), implying a recurring revenue ratio of 92.9%.

FY24 adj. EBITDA improved disproportionately by 48% yoy to € 12.3m (eNuW: € 12.0m; eCons: € 11.3m), implying a margin of 14.1% (+3.9pp yoy). The improved profitability was mainly driven by an improved product mix (i.e. premium solutions), the imposed efficiency measures as well as the margin-accretive
acquisition of botario (c. 30% EBITDA margin). Reported EBITDA was in line with our estimates at € 10.8m.

The clear highlight of the release however was the FCF, which improved strongly from € 1.0m in FY23 to € 6.5m in FY24 and was substantially ahead of our estimate (eNuW: € 3.8m). The strong increase was mainly driven by the improved profitabilty as well as lower CapEx (eNuW).

New guidance. For FY25e, management targets sales to grow by 8-10% (eNuW new: +10.4%) and an adj. EBITDA of € 13.5-15.5m (eNuW new: € 15.8m). In our view, both should be well achievable even at the upper end of the range. This should be driven by (1) the continuous efficiency gains, (2) a further improvin
product mix as well as (3) the introduction of new solutions like NFON Intelligent Assistent or voice mail transcription.

Despite the recent share price jump (+45% YTD), this is still not adequately reflected in the share price, in our view, given a valuation of 7.3x EV/EBITDA FY25e (5.5x FY26e). 

We hence reiterate BUY with an increased € 12.30 PT (old: € 11.70) based on DCF. The stock remains part of our NuWays Alpha List.

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/31869.pdf
For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.
Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.
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